Having explained how 'interest rate swaps' work in a previous post, we asked Honestly Banking to explain why they were sold.
The best fairytales are not just empty whimsies. The best
ones seek to educate us about the hazards of greed, gluttony, pride, lust and
all the other stuff we’d really like to do but probably oughtn’t. The
Bully-Banks guest post on this blog compared their ripped-off situation to
Little Red Riding Hood in the clutches of the wolf. Their situation also brought
to our mind another salutary fairytale: Rumpelstiltskin.
In the Rumpelstiltskin story a king decided the way to save his finances was to put the burden on a young girl, threatening her with death unless she turned straw into gold. The desperate girl takes a deal from a malevolent demon that provided her with gold for the king but as part of the deal she must give him her firstborn child. The demon guessed the unsophisticated girl, needing to avoid impending death, would not appreciate what she had promised. The trouble started when the demon came to collect.
In the Rumpelstiltskin story a king decided the way to save his finances was to put the burden on a young girl, threatening her with death unless she turned straw into gold. The desperate girl takes a deal from a malevolent demon that provided her with gold for the king but as part of the deal she must give him her firstborn child. The demon guessed the unsophisticated girl, needing to avoid impending death, would not appreciate what she had promised. The trouble started when the demon came to collect.
In Ripped-Off Britain the government decided the way to save
its finances was to put the burden on small and medium businesses (which make
up 60% of the private sector), to
turn the recession back into growth and employ all those sacked public sector
workers. The desperate businesses took deals from malevolent bankers who
provided them with the gold, but as part of the deal required the businesses to
sign an “interest rate swap agreement”. The bankers guessed the unsophisticated
businesses, needing to avoid impending ruin, would not appreciate what they had
promised. The trouble started when the banks came to collect.
The demon gives the girl a chance to get out of the deal if
she can discover his name. The FSA has given the businesses a chance to get out
of the deal if they can explain the scam and get public opinion on their side.
Explaining the scam is not as easy as it sounds. Even Ed
Miliband, leader of the Labour Party, with two degrees in economics (Oxford
University & London School of Economics) conceded he didn’t understand it. In a Sky report, Ed said:
"I visited a guy called Alan who runs a signage company in
Putney. He was in tears. It's a chilling story about what the banks are doing
to people.
He has lost about a £1m because of the banks. He got sold
a 'dual interest rate swap'. I have a master’s degree in economics and I can’t
understand it."
The only person who knew Rumplestiltskin’s name was the
scamp himself. Perhaps the only people who understand Interest Rates Swaps are
bankers. So we asked a banker, our occasional guest blogger from Honestly Banking to
explain a bit more how and why banks managed to get businesses to take this product. He
responded thus:
Interest
Rate Hedges fall basically into two categories; Swaps that effectively fix a
rate and Caps that give you a ‘no higher than’ rate. All the other structures,
such as collars are generally methods of hiding premiums and increasing bank
profits.
When
these structures are priced and sold the bank will make use of the ‘Yield
Curve’, which shows the market’s expectation of future interest rates. If the
curve is dropping away in the future, i.e. the market expects interest rates to
fall, the bank makes more profit with a longer-term hedge that keeps the
interest rate they receive up when market rates fall. Interpreting Yield Curves
is fraught with danger. An example yield curve is given below.
Casino banks like to
enter into bets with clients. Just like in real casinos, the house usually
wins. They have the knowledge and information to out-manoeuvre clients into
structures that will make the bank money.
Imagine the Cap the bank has sold has a ‘clean’ cost
(i.e with no profit in) of £100,000 (this is what it costs the bank to buy the Cap
in the market to give to the client). To make some money on this the bank might
need to add say a 50% margin, but a £150,000 premium is unacceptable to the
client who would walk away at this price. The bank has to find a way of generating a value of £150,000 without
charging the client a premium. To do this, the bank shows the client a collar
whereby the client is ‘tricked’ into selling the bank an Interest Rate Floor.
If the bank bought this ‘floor’ in the market it may have cost it £150,000 –
but it takes it for free from the uncomprehending client. The bank just
subtracts the cost of the Cap from the Floor and makes an immediate profit of
£50,000.
Bank gives Client a cap for free = cost
to bank, £100,000
Bank ‘buys’ floor from client = value to
bank, £150,000
(client takes on the falling rate risk without
getting paid)
Nett Profit to Bank = £50,0000
The client has become a derivatives trader
unknowingly by selling a floor to the bank. The bank doesn't pay the client for the derivative it has unknowingly sold, but just trousers the profit.
Sure the client has a Cap for free, but has just taken on two onerous risks: that of falling Interest Rates and the substantial break costs.
- Impact on client of different LIBOR rates, with Cap =
6%; Floor = 4%;
- LIBOR
= 5% Business pays
bank 5%
- LIBOR
= 7% Business pays
bank 6% (cap invoked)
- LIBOR = 0.5% Business pays bank 4%. However the bank will often trick the client with a 'Value' feature to give the client a 'better' or 'cheaper' rate, meaning they could pay an extra 3.5% on top of the 4%. 7.5% in total - bonuses all round!
With this extra money made from the client in addition to
the loan margin when rates fall and the substantial breakage costs (typically
30%-50% of the amount hedged), the smug banker is ready to open a bottle of
Bollinger. Of course the client has been duped. They will pay far more under
this ‘free’ arrangement.
As Libor Rates have fallen, banks have taken the opportunity
to do two things to increase their profits. Firstly they have started to
increase the margins they are charging on loans. This means as Interest Rates
have fallen, some debt has actually become more expensive! Banks will argue
about risk and cost of capital, but the reality is they are in an oligopoly so
they can do what they like!
The second change is more subtle and pernicious.
Where they can, banks have started to shift borrowers from Base Rate to Libor
(Libor is higher). Clients are usually strong-armed into this as part of a
package of new reforms. Banks claim the clients’ costs reflect more what the
bank is paying for its debt. The bank is of course being disingenuous, as when
the debt was granted they would have bought the money using a hedge so
their position is protected.
Additionally this often introduces a new risk to
clients who are already hedged - “Basis Risk”.
Basis Risk is where the hedge is in one index and the
debt in another, For example you borrow in Base Rate, but the hedge is in
Libor. Libor is more volatile than Base Rate, so the chance of the hedge's
barriers being breached is higher. This mismatch can be dangerous as the hedge
may contain nasty ‘trigger’ type elements as well. Additionally the bank will
have carefully set the calculation criteria in its favour, so that Libor may only
need to breach a barrier for a day, but you pay a penal rate for a quarter.
Nice!
Sure you've come across it before but Matt Taibbi does a pretty good job illustrating how the banksters used this scam to take down a US county which later became the larges municipal bankrupty in American history - http://www.rollingstone.com/politics/news/looting-main-street-20100331
ReplyDeleteAnd don't forget they also rigged the Libor rate for which no has been jailed!
ReplyDeleteYou can suggest they are casinos but they therefore should have gambling licences as well as financial ones. Perhaps then we would see the 'banksters' for what they really. Maybe this would create a proper banking system and then we could just call the bankster institutions what they really are - gambling dens.
How can ANY government allow this criminality to continue? All in it together?
Cora Blimey